China Is the Big Winner Bidens Foreign Policy, Waltz & Kroenig Argue
China is the big winner from bidens foreign policy say michael waltz and matthew kroenig – China is the big winner from Biden’s foreign policy, say Michael Waltz and Matthew Kroenig – a bold claim that demands a closer look. This provocative assertion isn’t just about economic gains; it delves into the shifting geopolitical landscape, questioning the effectiveness of the Biden administration’s approach to China’s growing influence. Are Waltz and Kroenig right? Let’s unpack their argument and explore the evidence.
Their analysis hinges on specific policies implemented by the Biden administration, policies they argue have inadvertently boosted China’s economic power, solidified its regional dominance, and enhanced its global standing. We’ll examine these claims, looking at economic indicators, geopolitical shifts in the Indo-Pacific, and counterarguments that challenge this seemingly one-sided narrative. Is it a fair assessment, or is there a more nuanced picture to consider?
Waltz and Kroenig’s Argument: China Is The Big Winner From Bidens Foreign Policy Say Michael Waltz And Matthew Kroenig
International relations scholars Michael Waltz and Matthew Kroenig have advanced a provocative thesis: President Biden’s foreign policy inadvertently benefits China. Their argument isn’t that Bidenintends* to aid China, but rather that specific policy choices, driven by a perceived need to recalibrate US global engagement, have unintentionally created opportunities for China’s rise. This claim rests on several key pillars, which we’ll examine below.
Biden Administration Policies Advantageous to China
Waltz and Kroenig pinpoint several key aspects of the Biden administration’s foreign policy as contributing to China’s gains. These policies aren’t presented as isolated incidents, but rather as interconnected elements of a broader strategic shift. The authors suggest that this shift, while arguably well-intentioned in terms of domestic priorities and addressing specific global challenges, has created unforeseen vulnerabilities for the United States and opened avenues for Chinese expansion.
This is not a claim of outright appeasement, but rather an assessment of unintended consequences.
Economic Benefits for China
One area of focus is the Biden administration’s approach to trade. While the administration has expressed concerns about unfair trade practices by China, Waltz and Kroenig argue that the emphasis on domestic economic recovery and a less confrontational approach to trade negotiations has inadvertently allowed China to maintain its economic momentum. They might cite, for example, the continued reliance on Chinese manufacturing and the lack of aggressive action to address specific trade imbalances as evidence.
This argument might be supported by data showing the continued growth of China’s GDP despite US efforts to diversify supply chains. Specific figures on trade deficits and Chinese export growth could be used to bolster their case.
Political and Strategic Gains for China
Beyond economics, Waltz and Kroenig likely highlight the perceived shift in US strategic focus under the Biden administration. A perceived reduced emphasis on assertive military presence in certain regions, coupled with a prioritization of domestic issues, could be presented as creating space for China to assert its influence. For instance, the authors might point to China’s increased assertiveness in the South China Sea or its growing influence within international organizations as evidence of this strategic gain.
They could support this by referencing specific instances of Chinese actions in these areas that have faced relatively muted US responses.
Evidence and Geopolitical Events
The evidence supporting Waltz and Kroenig’s claim would likely draw on a variety of sources. They might cite specific instances where the US response to Chinese actions was perceived as weak or indecisive, contrasting this with previous administrations’ approaches. For example, they might compare the US response to Chinese military activities in the South China Sea under the Biden administration to responses under previous administrations.
Furthermore, they could analyze the shifts in power dynamics within international organizations, noting instances where China has gained influence. Data points on military spending, diplomatic initiatives, and economic indicators would be crucial in building their argument.
Geopolitical Ramifications
Biden’s foreign policy has undeniably reshaped the geopolitical landscape of the Indo-Pacific, significantly impacting the power dynamics between the United States and China. While the administration aimed to counter China’s growing influence through a combination of alliances and diplomatic pressure, the resulting impact is complex and multifaceted, with some arguing that China has ultimately gained strategic ground.The shift in power dynamics within the Indo-Pacific is largely attributed to several key factors, including the perceived weakening of US alliances, the continued assertiveness of China in disputed territories, and the relative success of China’s Belt and Road Initiative in expanding its economic and political influence across the region.
Analyzing these shifts requires a careful examination of specific regions and the evolving relationships between key players.
China’s Strategic Gains in Contested Territories
China’s actions in the South China Sea, particularly its continued island-building and militarization of artificial reefs, have been a major source of tension. While previous administrations voiced concerns, the pace of China’s expansion and its increasingly assertive stance appear to have accelerated under the Biden administration. This contrasts with some expectations that a more predictable and rules-based approach from the US would deter such actions.
Similarly, in other contested territories along its borders, China has continued to push its claims, often employing economic leverage and diplomatic pressure to achieve its objectives. The relative lack of significant countermeasures, coupled with internal political challenges faced by several regional powers, has contributed to China’s gains in these areas.
Key Geopolitical Alliances: Strengthening and Weakening
Biden’s emphasis on strengthening alliances has yielded mixed results. While the Quadrilateral Security Dialogue (Quad) – comprising the US, Japan, India, and Australia – has seen increased activity and military exercises, concerns remain about the capacity of this alliance to effectively counter China’s growing military and economic power. Relationships with key regional partners like the Philippines and Vietnam have also seen complex shifts, with both countries balancing their need for US support against their economic ties with China.
The effectiveness of these alliances in constraining China’s actions remains a subject of ongoing debate. The perceived reluctance of some European powers to fully engage in a confrontational approach towards China also represents a strategic challenge for the US.
Changes in China’s Geopolitical Standing, China is the big winner from bidens foreign policy say michael waltz and matthew kroenig
The following table summarizes the perceived changes in China’s geopolitical standing in key regions under the Biden administration compared to previous administrations. The assessments are necessarily subjective and reflect a range of perspectives.
| Region | Before Biden | During Biden | Assessment |
|---|---|---|---|
| South China Sea | Assertive but facing international pressure | Continued expansion and militarization | Significant gains for China |
| East China Sea | Tensions with Japan and South Korea | Continued tensions, limited progress on de-escalation | Stalemate, with China maintaining its position |
| Taiwan | Rising tensions, but no major escalation | Increased military activity by China, heightened rhetoric | Increased risk of conflict, China’s influence growing |
| Indian Subcontinent | Complex relationship with India, growing competition | Increased cooperation within the Quad, but persistent border tensions | Mixed results, regional power balance remains fluid |
The debate surrounding Biden’s foreign policy and its impact on China is far from settled. While Waltz and Kroenig present a compelling case highlighting potential unintended consequences, it’s crucial to acknowledge the counterarguments and the complexity of international relations. Ultimately, the “big winner” declaration may be an oversimplification, obscuring the multifaceted and evolving dynamics between the US and China.
Further analysis and careful consideration of all perspectives are needed to fully grasp the long-term implications of current policies.
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